Singapore economist compares Singapore with China

State-owned enterprises or government-linked companies (GLCs) are taking a bigger and bigger share of the economic pie in both Singapore and China. And, in both countries, labour gets the lowest share of the national income in the form of wages.

So says Singapore-born Linda YC Lim, a professor of business strategy at the University of Michigan, in a paper which asks: Why do East Asians save so much?

One reason is high property prices. Then again, "Some economies—Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong—have forced-saving schemes or national “provident funds” with high rates of mandatory contributions out of earned income."

Nevertheless, there is a growing income gap between the rich and the poor. It is the high income earners, GLCs and multinationals that are thriving in "corporatist" Singapore, she adds.

Unlike in other East Asian countries, domestic consumption in Singapore fell from 46.3 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP) in 1990 to 38.6 per cent in 2007 and in China from 50.6 per cent  to 36.4 per cent, says Lim. Private consumption and wages are probably held in check in Singapore by the presence of a large and growing foreign workforce which, like the multinationals, wants to send money home, she adds.

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Singapore compared with other Asian economies

Singapore suffered a bigger drop in exports than China, Hong Kong, South Korea, Thailand and Vietnam during the recession. See the chart below based on the World Bank report released yesterday.

WorldBank-Merchandise-Expor

But the Singapore stock market rebounded more strongly than any other market in the region except Thailand, South Korea and Taiwan, according to the same report. This chart shows all four were back to nearly pre-crisis levels last month.

WorldBank-financial-market-

Hong Kong has bigger foreign reserves than Singapore, but look at China's growing giant pile.

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$114,000 paid for nine words

So the New York Times has paid $114,000 (S$160,000) in damages to Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew and Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong for an article which said: "Singapore's Lee Hsien Loong is Lee Kuan Yew's son". That's $12,666 in damages for each of the nine words in that sentence.

There was no further reference to the Lees and Singapore — and none at all to Goh — in that article written by Philip Bowring and headlined All in the Family, which was published by the International Herald Tribune and the Khaleej Times in February. (See previous post.)

And the New York Times is paying legal costs too.

Singapore lawyer Davinder Singh, acting for the Singapore leaders, said the article was "libellous", reports Reuters.

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New York Times apology to PM Lee and his father

The New York Times apologized today to Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew and Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong for an article which said: "Singapore's Lee Hsien Loong is Lee Kuan Yew's son."

That nine-word sentence was the only reference to the Lees and Singapore (there was none to Goh) in the nearly 800-word article, which was also published by the Khaleej Times on February 17. It was stating a fact, not passing any judgment. Yet the New York Times issued an  apology considerably longer than the offending sentence. Why? Not because of what was said in that sentence but because of the thrust of the article.

Philip Bowring, an old Asia hand who had run-ins with the Singapore government in the past, was criticizing what he called "dynastic politics" in Asia.

He named several Asian leaders, including Prime Minister Najib Razak of Malaysia, President Asif Ali Zardari of Pakistan, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina of Bangladesh and Aung San Suu Kyi of Myanmar, who are related by birth or marriage to previous leaders. He did not say they are incompetent or undemocratic. "With the exception of North Korea, Asian dynasties are a phenomenon of countries that are more or less democratic," he wrote.

They can be a stabilizing or unifying force, he said.

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Singapore in sweet spot despite slower growth

A rising number of Singaporean business and political leaders expect economic growth to slow significantly over the next decade as the country adjusts to being a rich, developed nation, signalling a possible end to Singapore's multidecade run as one of the fastest-growing economies in the world, reports the Wall Street Journal.

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Should we follow US? State capitalism works: Tony Tan

Asian banks have a "once in a lifetime" opportunity of taking a bigger share of the global banking market and perhaps even overtake some of the big Western banks, Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC) deputy chairman Tony Tan tells the Financial Times at the World Economic Forum in Davos. (The Financial Times wrongly calls him chairman: that position is held by Singapore Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew.)

You can see him being interviewed by Gillian Tett of the Financial Times here.

Here are some excerpts from the interview (here in full):

“For the GIC, we see no lack of opportunities in the developing world,” he said.

“I think Asian countries will now look again at whether we want to be (following the US),” he said, pointing out that even in the US there was a rethink of laisser faire economics. “State capitalism, interference by the state, has served (some countries) well,” he said.

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Singapore think tanks in Asian top 10

Singapore has two of the top 10 Asian think tanks, according to the Think Tank Index (see previous post). The Institute of Southeast Asian Studies ranks seventh and the Institute for Defense and Strategic Studies tenth.

The Think Tank Index, the first comprehensive rankings of think tanks worldwide, appears in the the latest issue of the Foreign Policy magazine. Based on a worldwide survey of hundreds of scholars and experts, the index was compiled by James G. McGann, assistant director of the University of Pennsylvania International Relations Program and director of the Think Tanks and Civil Society Program at Penn.

While the Foreign Policy magazine contains only the highlights, the full report containing all the rankings can be downloaded at Penn’s International Relations website.

The top 25 Asian think tanks

1. Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) – China
2. Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA) – Japan
3. Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses – India
4. Center for Strategic and International Studies – Indonesia
5. Institute for International Policy Studies – Japan
6. Shanghai Institute for International Studies – China
7. Institute of Southeast Asian Studies — Singapore
8. Center for Civil Society – India
9. China Institute for Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) –
China
10. Institute for Defense and Strategic Studies – Singapore
11. The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI) – India
12. Asian Forum Japan (AFJ) – Japan
13. China Institute for International Studies (CIIS) – China
14. Lowy Institute for International Policy – Australia
15. Cathay Institute for Public Affairs – China
16. Korea Development Institute – South Korea
17. National Institute for Defense Studies – Japan
18. National Institute for Research Advancement – Japan
19. Hong Kong Centre for Economic Research (HKCER) – Hong Kong
20. Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI) – Japan
21. Taiwan Foundation for Democracy – Taiwan
22. Unirule Institute of Economics – China
23. Institute of Energy Economics Japan (IEEJ) – Japan
24. Liberty Institute – India
25 (tie) Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) – Malaysia
25 (tie). Philippine Institute for Development Studies – Philippines
25 (tie) Third World Network – Malaysia

McGann writes:

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